Cross-country comparison over absolute dates⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Cross-country comparison with approximately aligned start days⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Per-country analysis with exponential and sigmoidal projections, and new cases analysis⮸
IMPORTANT: The projections are only accurate if the fit is good (it often isn't), and assuming nothing changes
going forward. The sigmoid is omitted if a reasonable fit can't be computed, but this still doesn't mean that
the fit is good if it is shown.
The dashed lines show best fit projections from a few previous days for comparison.
Start date 2020-03-15 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $6,442$ on 2020-05-14
Best fit exponential: \(490 \times 10^{0.019t}\) (doubling rate \(15.9\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{8,855.3}{1 + 10^{-0.031 (t - 48.9)}}\) (asimptote \(8,855.3\))
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $529$ on 2020-05-14
Best fit exponential: \(96.9 \times 10^{0.014t}\) (doubling rate \(21.4\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{484.2}{1 + 10^{-0.071 (t - 24.4)}}\) (asimptote \(484.2\))
Start date 2020-03-17 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $2,755$ on 2020-05-14
Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $1,242$ on 2020-05-14
Best fit exponential: \(50.7 \times 10^{0.024t}\) (doubling rate \(12.4\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{22,205.4}{1 + 10^{-0.025 (t - 106.2)}}\) (asimptote \(22,205.4\))
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $50$ on 2020-05-14
Best fit exponential: \(7.89 \times 10^{0.014t}\) (doubling rate \(20.9\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{56.6}{1 + 10^{-0.027 (t - 35.8)}}\) (asimptote \(56.6\))
Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $1,035$ on 2020-05-14
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $332$ on 2020-05-14
Best fit exponential: \(133 \times 10^{0.009t}\) (doubling rate \(35.2\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{334.0}{1 + 10^{-0.103 (t - 15.2)}}\) (asimptote \(334.0\))
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $10$ on 2020-05-14
Best fit exponential: \(4.49 \times 10^{0.008t}\) (doubling rate \(38.8\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{9.7}{1 + 10^{-0.084 (t - 11.7)}}\) (asimptote \(9.7\))
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $0$ on 2020-05-14
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $10,829$ on 2020-05-14
Best fit exponential: \(402 \times 10^{0.023t}\) (doubling rate \(12.8\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{23,189.5}{1 + 10^{-0.031 (t - 63.8)}}\) (asimptote \(23,189.5\))
Start date 2020-03-22 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $571$ on 2020-05-14
Best fit exponential: \(58.6 \times 10^{0.019t}\) (doubling rate \(15.6\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{666.5}{1 + 10^{-0.040 (t - 36.1)}}\) (asimptote \(666.5\))
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $7,632$ on 2020-05-14
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $2,954$ on 2020-05-14
Best fit exponential: \(277 \times 10^{0.019t}\) (doubling rate \(15.8\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{3,719.9}{1 + 10^{-0.034 (t - 41.1)}}\) (asimptote \(3,719.9\))
Start date 2020-03-29 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $139$ on 2020-05-14
Best fit exponential: \(7.36 \times 10^{0.028t}\) (doubling rate \(10.9\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{347.9}{1 + 10^{-0.035 (t - 51.9)}}\) (asimptote \(347.9\))
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $1,262$ on 2020-05-14
Start date 2020-03-17 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $6,607$ on 2020-05-14
Best fit exponential: \(539 \times 10^{0.019t}\) (doubling rate \(15.5\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{7,370.3}{1 + 10^{-0.042 (t - 39.5)}}\) (asimptote \(7,370.3\))
Start date 2020-03-22 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $190$ on 2020-05-14
Best fit exponential: \(50.2 \times 10^{0.012t}\) (doubling rate \(24.6\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{182.4}{1 + 10^{-0.063 (t - 19.1)}}\) (asimptote \(182.4\))
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $3,107$ on 2020-05-14
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $583$ on 2020-05-14
Best fit exponential: \(13.1 \times 10^{0.029t}\) (doubling rate \(10.5\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{539.8}{1 + 10^{-0.069 (t - 42.9)}}\) (asimptote \(539.8\))
Start date 2020-04-22 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $7$ on 2020-05-14
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $563$ on 2020-05-14
Start date 2020-03-20 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $1,104$ on 2020-05-14
Best fit exponential: \(4.41 \times 10^{0.043t}\) (doubling rate \(7.1\) days)
Start date 2020-03-20 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $10$ on 2020-05-14
Best fit exponential: \(0.194 \times 10^{0.031t}\) (doubling rate \(9.7\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{71.8}{1 + 10^{-0.034 (t - 78.8)}}\) (asimptote \(71.8\))
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $912$ on 2020-05-14